monsoon: Anxiety increased! Skymet forecasts 60 percent less rain than normal this year

New Delhi: The country is now facing a dire water shortage as farmers and citizens are in a state of panic over the corona virus crisis. Skymet, a private weather forecasting company, has said that the country will receive less than normal rainfall this year. Skymet had earlier made a pre-monsoon forecast on April 13, […]

Aug 25, 2021 - 03:24 Updated: Jan 15, 2022 - 11:02
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monsoon: Anxiety increased! Skymet forecasts 60 percent less rain than normal this year

New Delhi: The country is now facing a dire water shortage as farmers and citizens are in a state of panic over the corona virus crisis. Skymet, a private weather forecasting company, has said that the country will receive less than normal rainfall this year. Skymet had earlier made a pre-monsoon forecast on April 13, 2021. Normal rainfall was forecast in the country at that time. But now the update has been predicted. According to this, the country will receive 60 per cent less rain than normal this year, according to Skymet.

Geographically, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Odisha, Kerala and Northeast India are expected to receive less rainfall. Drought-like conditions prevail in the western part of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh have received above normal rainfall. In many states, the rains are still low and there are fears of crop failure.

Rainfall forecast in August-September

Skymet had earlier forecast 106 per cent rainfall in June and 97 per cent in July. According to this, 110 per cent and 93 per cent rainfall has been received in June and July. Looking at the current weather conditions, Skymet has changed its earlier forecast. Let’s look at the weather forecast by month …

– August is expected to receive 80 percent less rain a month. Normal rainfall is estimated at 20%.

– Less than expected rainfall is expected in September. It is expected to receive 60 per cent less rainfall this month.

The monsoon arrived on time

This year, the monsoon arrived in India on time. By the end of June, many states in the country received good rains. There was not much rain in the month of July till 11th July. As a result, the rainfall in July was 93 per cent less than the previous estimate.

The reason for the weakening of the monsoon is the long standing IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole) condition in the Indian Ocean. This situation did not change in July and August either. IOD means the surface temperature of the western Indian Ocean is lower and higher than that of the eastern part of the Indian Ocean. It is called the Indian Ocean Bipolar. But there is no clear indication that IOD will be formed in September, said Jatin Singh, director of Skymet. That means good rains are still expected in September.



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